Over $40 Million Wagered: Bettors Try to Predict the Next Pope

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In a surprising twist to traditional gambling, betting on the next pope has drawn global attention, with wagers exceeding $40 million. As the Vatican begins preparations for an eventual papal transition, betting platforms worldwide have opened markets, allowing users to place bets on who might succeed Pope Francis.

A cardinal standing in front of St. Peter’s Basilica with poker chips, cash, and a betting slip showing odds for the next pope.

Why Papal Betting Is So Popular in 2025

While religious leadership might seem an unlikely focus for gambling, the papal election betting market has surged due to a combination of global curiosity, political dynamics within the Catholic Church, and high-profile contenders. Betting platforms, particularly in Europe and Latin America, report record-breaking activity, with individual bets reaching up to $10,000.

Gamblers are evaluating potential successors based on factors such as nationality, theological stance, age, and influence within the Vatican. These factors influence next pope predictions and reflect both faith-based speculation and geopolitical forecasting.

Betting on the Next Pope

The current betting markets favor candidates such as Cardinal Peter Erdo of Hungary, Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle of the Philippines, and Cardinal Matteo Zuppi of Italy. Each has strong ties to different global regions, representing various theological and diplomatic leanings.

Bookmakers are offering competitive next pope betting odds. Cardinal Erdo’s odds are trending upward due to his conservative stance and influence in Europe, while Cardinal Tagle appeals to bettors expecting a more progressive papacy.

A cardinal in red robe looking at a large betting board listing odds for various candidates to become the next pope.

Ethical Debate Around Religious Betting

Despite its popularity, this trend has raised ethical questions. Critics argue that betting on the next pope commodifies a deeply spiritual and sacred process. Church authorities have remained silent, but public sentiment is divided.

Supporters say the bets reflect global interest in Church leadership and help shine a spotlight on important religious events. Meanwhile, betting operators insist that this market is no different from wagers on political elections or royal events.

The Future of Religious Betting Markets

The sheer volume of wagers suggests that papal election betting may become a more regular feature during papal transitions. As digital betting grows and events with global significance attract broader audiences, next pope predictions may continue blending faith, politics, and entertainment.

Whether viewed as controversial or simply a sign of the times, betting on the next pope has undeniably captured the public’s imagination.